Is Civitas poll accurate? If so Basnight could have a competetive race ahed

The Civitas poll released Aug. 4th shows Sen. Basnight just 1 point ahead of his Republican challenger among likely voters.
http://www.examiner.com/examiner/x-60417-Wake-County-Elections-2010-Exam...
Also, see a blog from the winter by Asheville Citizen-Times legislative reporter on the reason Basnight and Rand lost control in 2009 leading to Rand's departure from the Senate and to Martin Nesbitt's election as Senate Majority Leader.
According to John Davis' reports, "The caucus majority, led by Sen. Martin Nesbitt (D-Buncombe) and Sen. Dan Blue (D-Wake), issued an ultimatum to the leadership: support the Racial Justice Act or else. As with all who rule with autocratic arrogance, the day came when their subjects refused to be pushed around anymore. Thus, the coup succeeded and the Basnight/Rand Empire fell. Rand, humiliated in defeat, quit."

http://blogs.citizen-times.com/blogs/index.php?blog=10&cat=102