John Wynne swings and misses in his prediction of a Tillis victory:
Let’s start with some facts. First of all, voters are much more concerned with national issues than state issues. While progressives hate what the legislature is doing, most of the public is ambivalent. Ill-advised though it was to say this publicly, Thom Tillis had it right when he said that most voters don’t pay attention to what the legislature is doing. It doesn’t play a role in their day to day lives.
This is the core of John's mistaken evaluation of the situation; relying on the way things have always been. That ambivalence to Raleigh's affairs has been altered, maybe permanently, by the activities of the Moral Monday movement. It took close to 1,000 people being arrested to get the public's attention, but it worked. And as far as the "Obamacare!" scare approach, guess what? It's wearing off. Big-money Conservative groups have spent millions blasting Kay Hagan since late last year, and people are getting tired of the ads. But since they don't know any other way to spend their oil-drenched money, they will keep on attacking, and Kay's numbers will keep on improving. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.