Today Public Policy Polling tested a large number of potential challengers to Richard Burr for US Senate in 2010.
Burr is under 50% against everyone, which is usually a sign that an incumbent is in serious trouble.
Elizabeth Edwards 35-46
Dan Blue 33-44
Richard Moore 34-47
Bob Etheridge 31-47
Heath Shuler 28-44
Walter Dalton 29-48
They also tested Cal Cunningham, but because he has a much smaller name recognition than all of those folks they gave him the benefit of a 2 sentence biography. After that Burr leads Cal by only 8 points, 34-42. As Tom puts it:
That's an important reminder that having a good story to tell is more important for potential challengers to Burr than initial name id
Tom closes out by saying:
Now Democrats are going to have to make a choice- do they get a Shuler or McIntyre who have big bank accounts and a good position from which to raise more or do they go more towards a Cunningham who might need more help raising money but can run as an outsider in an election cycle where not having any Washington taint could be a very good thing? It will be interesting to see how it all plays out.
I know where I stand of those three, but its nice to have some numbers that show Burr is going to have a very tough fight almost no matter what.