'Hagan leads GOP field by double digits' from PPP
“North Carolinians continue to be closely divided on Kay Hagan,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But she’ll get a break if she can run against the leadership of an extremely unpopular GOP legislature.”
Raleigh, N.C.— The unpopularity of the North Carolina General Assembly may be starting to take a toll on the Republican Party’s chances of ousting freshman Sen. Kay Hagan next fall. Last month, she led eight Republicans tested against her by margins of only four to nine points. In this month’s poll, that has shot up an average of six points.
None of Hagan’s improvement seems to be about her personally. The Democrat continues to have about a break-even approval margin, with 43% approving and 45% disapproving of her job performance, not much different from the 41-42 measured in June. But she has 49% of the vote in all eight matchups, topping Phil Berger and Greg Brannon each by 10 points (39%), Thom Tillis by 11 (38%), Virginia Foxx by 12 (37%), Renee Ellmers and Jim Cain by 13 (36%), Mark Harris by 14 (35%), and Lynn Wheeler by 15 (34%). In the previous poll, she led Berger by only four points and Tillis by five.
Most of Hagan’s improvement has come with independents. She trailed the Republicans by an average of 13 points with unaffiliated voters in June, but now leads them by an average of two, a turnaround of 15 points on the margin.
Politico was among the first to publish the poll today:
The race on the Republican side is wide open. When asked which of the eight contenders they would like to see be the Republican candidate for Senate, 35 percent said they were unsure or would vote for someone else. Rep. Foxx led the pack, with 16 percent, and fellow Rep. Ellmers, state Sen. Berger and former Ambassador Cain tied at 11 percent. Tea party activist Brannon was ahead of state Rep. Tillis, 7 percent to 5 percent.