Senator Hagan leads GOP field by double digits

'Hagan leads GOP field by double digits' from PPP

“North Carolinians continue to be closely divided on Kay Hagan,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But she’ll get a break if she can run against the leadership of an extremely unpopular GOP legislature.”

Raleigh, N.C.— The unpopularity of the North Carolina General Assembly may be starting to take a toll on the Republican Party’s chances of ousting freshman Sen. Kay Hagan next fall. Last month, she led eight Republicans tested against her by margins of only four to nine points. In this month’s poll, that has shot up an average of six points.

None of Hagan’s improvement seems to be about her personally. The Democrat continues to have about a break-even approval margin, with 43% approving and 45% disapproving of her job performance, not much different from the 41-42 measured in June. But she has 49% of the vote in all eight matchups, topping Phil Berger and Greg Brannon each by 10 points (39%), Thom Tillis by 11 (38%), Virginia Foxx by 12 (37%), Renee Ellmers and Jim Cain by 13 (36%), Mark Harris by 14 (35%), and Lynn Wheeler by 15 (34%). In the previous poll, she led Berger by only four points and Tillis by five.

Most of Hagan’s improvement has come with independents. She trailed the Republicans by an average of 13 points with unaffiliated voters in June, but now leads them by an average of two, a turnaround of 15 points on the margin.

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Politico was among the first to publish the poll today:

The race on the Republican side is wide open. When asked which of the eight contenders they would like to see be the Republican candidate for Senate, 35 percent said they were unsure or would vote for someone else. Rep. Foxx led the pack, with 16 percent, and fellow Rep. Ellmers, state Sen. Berger and former Ambassador Cain tied at 11 percent. Tea party activist Brannon was ahead of state Rep. Tillis, 7 percent to 5 percent.


Senate race 2014: Ellmers is out

U.S. Rep. Renee Ellmers will not run for Senate, will run for re-election to the U.S. House : several Media sources minutes ago.

She had hinted she might run and met with NRC members recently in Raleigh.

Here"s hoping one of the NC Legislature's leaders wins the GOP primary. From Twitter:

#NCSEN RT @BoyumNews14: Ellmers had said she would make a decision by 8/1. Still waiting on a decision from Sen. Phil Berger #ncpol #ncga

Martha Brock

I'm No Ellmers Fan...

...but I'll admit that she apparently can count votes better than Tillis.

"What I see from the folks who are opposing our agenda is whining coming from losers." -- Thom Tillis


The GOP brand is going the way of New Coke.

More like Crystal Pepsi

Actually, the GOP's rebranding efforts are more like the marketing of Crystal Pepsi a few years back - a product that had large initial sales, but fell off quickly.

The CEO who came up with the idea later said, "It would have been nice if I'd made sure the product tasted good."

Pepsi ... perfect

A great metaphor. Love the quote.

The GOP Enlarges their Tent... reaching out to rich white men.

"What I see from the folks who are opposing our agenda is whining coming from losers." -- Thom Tillis

And then she showed leadership by example... continuing to support anti-choice abortion restrictions, continuing to oppose the Lily Ledbetter law and just being a good foot soldier in the war on women.

Talk is cheap, Renee (but at least she's consistent with the rest of her party who mouth platitudes about "reaching out" to various groups while simultaneously stomping those groups).

"What I see from the folks who are opposing our agenda is whining coming from losers." -- Thom Tillis


The problem is that the kind of women that are attracted by these types of policies aren't as common as they used to be. Most women in NC aren't particularly interested in being servile little handmaidens to their husbands and passive window-dressing in their church or place of work.

The current GOP appeals to a particular kind of woman with values that only exist in some mythical 50s sitcom.


...I'm worried about the Berger.

"What I see from the folks who are opposing our agenda is whining coming from losers." -- Thom Tillis