NC Sen: The Lines Have Been Drawn - Part 2

Last week, with the primary election cycle nearing its end, I started a conversation on how to make the difficult decision of deciding between good democrats in this primary election. And I gave the 3 campaigns some guidance on what I hoped to see in terms of taking stands on issues, and clarifying stands that have already been taken.

I wanted to see not only what campaigns will say among friends when they speak on bluenc.com, or pamshouseblend.com, or dailykos.com, or BlueNC Radio, or through direct messages on facebook, or in person at the Orange County Democratic Party Convention that I attended over the weekend, but also what they will say to the whole electorate by means of their website. Based on a number of factors, including what they're willing to say to the whole electorate, I find myself ready to pick, support, and endorse a side.

The debate will be on NBC17 on Wednesday and early voting starts on Thursday of this week so decision time really is right now. I invite those of you have who have made up your minds regardless of the candidate, and want to share some guidance about how you got there, to jump in too!


Elaine Live Blogging at Pam's House Blend

I’ve just invited about 500+ of my closest facebook friends to the Elaine Marhsall facebook page. As someone who started out leaning towards Cal (he had my vote in all those early online BlueNC polls), I’m a little surprised to find myself in the Elaine camp. But her campaign has proven to be very responsive, she’s taken the strongest position gay rights, has proven to hold on to the lead in the polls against Burr, and will really be able to take Burr to task on his vote for domestic violence as a pre-existing condition, and his vote against the anti-rape amendment, not to mention the fact that his response to the recession was to do a bank-run. I've followed the campaigns closely, seen Elaine & Cal speak in person, and wont rule out changing my mind until after I've seen the debate & see if there are any more issues section updates to campaign websites. But with the strongest candidate in the polls also being the best candidate on the issues (as their issues sections stand right now) I find myself now an Elaine Marshall supporter.

Viability was definitely a concern of mine. But looking at Public Policy Polling from as recently as a few weeks ago I'm not to worried (especially now that I hear they have TV ads on their way):

Burr vs. Cunningham - Burr (R) 43% Cunningham (D) 32%
Burr vs. Lewis - Burr (R) 43% Lewis (D) 32%
Burr vs. Marshall Burr (R) 41% - Marshall (D) 36%

Even the conservative Rasmussen polls I've seen suggest Elaine has better name recognition and polls better against Burr. And I think the that hurdle is probably the highest for any candidate to jump over. There are a lot of things I like about the Cunningham Campaign, I kind of wish we could have 3 Senators from NC, and if Cal wins the primary, I'll have his back 100%. I know Cal has a history of supporting Voter Owned Elections, that he supports repealing DADT, and that he & Ken are infinitely better suited to represent NC than Burr, so I'm going to be happy about the outcome of this primary regardless of who wins. But right now I'm seeing Elaine as both better on the issues, and best in the polls, so unless I see some changes in the next few days, I'll be supporting Elaine.

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Ditto..

As someone who started out leaning towards Cal (he had my vote in all those early online BlueNC polls), I’m a little surprised to find myself in the Elaine camp.

I switched to Elaine about a month or so ago announcing it here on BlueNC. My reasons mirror yours exactly, Jake, because I truly believe that she stands the best chance to defeat "No Show". Hopefully, if Elaine does win the primary, the national party will feel the same way and will not take offense to we North Carolinians selecting someone other than who they wanted on the ballot in November so that Elaine can receive the funds from them she will most certainly need. Last I saw, Burr is well funded already and I hear his ads on the radio already because of that. Whoever wins the primary, that democratic candidate will need every bit of support both in financing and in grassroots efforts they can muster up. Betsy Muse has posted here (on another thread) today that the republicans are feeling they have a great opportunity this off-year election cycle and as much as I hate to say it, I think they're right. It is going to take every ounce of dedication the party can put together to send "No Show" packing.

I'm not too worried about the

National Party. I never put any stock in DSCC support as a reason to be against a campaign. I think the more a candidate can rally support from all over the better. But I think given Burr's weakness as an incumbent and the need to pick up some seats that the DSCC will have the back of whoever wins this primary. And regardless of whether that winner is Elaine, Cal, or Ken, I will support them all the way to November, even if Elaine is getting my vote in the primary.

That Elaine got more votes in NC in 2008 than either President Obama, Governor Perdue, or Senator Hagan, I think that kind of bipartisan support will be hard for the DSCC to ignore if she pulls out a win in this primary.

DSCC support no reason to oppose a campaign

Is not a reason to be against a campaign; it's a cautionary note that signals a campaign will publicly tilt against taking strong progressive positions, mostly because of its reliance on outside-of-the-state consultants who "know best" about an area in which they do not live and casts a wide conservative net. It's a casualty of political war to be under its wing in many ways.

Its goal is to elect a (D) period, not necessarily a progressive, so you end up with the tug-of-war between consultants who keep candidates from openly declaring support on anything controversial in order to preserve the fantasy "wiggle room" and it drains the candidate of a believable, genuine point of view because everything relies on political calculation rather than authenticity. Sometimes the formula works, but say, in Kay Hagan's case, she got to ride the coattails of Obama and had the good fortune for Dole to meltdown. It certainly wasn't because she was trailblazing in any way re: for instance, LGBT rights. As things stand now, she can't be counted on as a firm vote on those issues when it should be a no-brainer.

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Pam Spaulding
Durham, NC USA

Pam's House Blend
www.pamshouseblend.com

Can tell its campaign season: funny video

Now THAT was funny !!

That's funny no matter WHAT political persuation you happen to be !!!!!

:)