Thom Tillis

Misreading the Tillis-Hagan tea leaves

John Wynne swings and misses in his prediction of a Tillis victory:

Let’s start with some facts. First of all, voters are much more concerned with national issues than state issues. While progressives hate what the legislature is doing, most of the public is ambivalent. Ill-advised though it was to say this publicly, Thom Tillis had it right when he said that most voters don’t pay attention to what the legislature is doing. It doesn’t play a role in their day to day lives.

This is the core of John's mistaken evaluation of the situation; relying on the way things have always been. That ambivalence to Raleigh's affairs has been altered, maybe permanently, by the activities of the Moral Monday movement. It took close to 1,000 people being arrested to get the public's attention, but it worked. And as far as the "Obamacare!" scare approach, guess what? It's wearing off. Big-money Conservative groups have spent millions blasting Kay Hagan since late last year, and people are getting tired of the ads. But since they don't know any other way to spend their oil-drenched money, they will keep on attacking, and Kay's numbers will keep on improving. Put that in your pipe and smoke it.

Thom Tillis moves into first place for "lie of the year"

Republicans love to call Obama's statement about keeping your insurance under the ACA the "lie of the year". Of course it's not even a lie, because the ACA was adapted to ensure that people could keep their really shitty plans for a few years if that's what they needed to do to prove that they hate, hate, hate Obama.

Thom Tillis, who thinks that Kay Hagan and Barack Obama are the same person, loves to talk about Senator Hagan repeating the so-called "lie of the year".

But Thom, who's a consummate liar himself, has just moved into first place. Heck, he's probably cinched "Lie of the Decade". Discussing the NC budget debacle, during which he's shown himself to be ineffective and inconsequential (on those occasions when he bothers to show up), here's Thom lying through his teeth:

Tillisberger to throw 12,000 kids out in the cold

or in the heat. But either way, the NC GOP wants to stop after-school child care subsidies for 12,000 kids from low-income families.

Sen. Jeff Tarte, a Republican from Cornelius, said the goal is to shift the focus to early childhood development..

Oh, well the way Jeff tells it, this must be a good thing. Unless, of course:

Child advocates say the change could put children at risk by forcing parents to choose between work and leaving their children in potentially unsafe situations.

Oh, that doesn't sound good at all. But that's just those bleeding-heart "child advocates" talking. Let's hear from an actual parent, who would need to pay more than $1,000 more per month, something she can't possibly afford.

Please, Mr. Speaker

GOP tax changes mean you pay more

GOP tax laws took effect this week that will mean a net increase for many North Carolina tax payers. For some it may not be a huge increase, but the fact is we are paying more. Republicans will nickel and dime us to death.

Eliminated was the tax-free shopping days scheduled for back-to-school shopping. Many of us saved on clothes, calculators, computers, and basic school supplies. The savings on a laptop for high school and college students was a huge benefit to many of us. You can see the full list of potential savings here.

Also eliminated was the tax-free shopping weekend for those buying certified energy-efficient household appliances. This tax break may not have been as widely enjoyed as the back-to-school tax break, but it was a much-needed incentive to encourage people to buy appliances that are more environmentally friendly.

Tillis hones his IRS and BenghaziCare skills

Jumping on the meme bandwagon:

“The Obama administration and Kay Hagan have shown a complete lack of willingness to get the bottom of this scandal to determine whether or not Americans were targeted for their political beliefs,” said Tillis. “The IRS’ excuse that it conveniently lost emails that were subpoenaed by Congress is simply outrageous, and yet Kay Hagan continues to provide President Obama with political cover, once again failing to hold him accountable. The American people deserve the truth, and it’s time for a special prosecutor to be appointed to investigate.”

Speaking of e-mails, Thommy, what about all those back-and-forth communications related to the NC GOP's voter suppression efforts during gerrymandering season? Your IRS accusation has already been proven false after an in-depth perusal of the records, but investigations into the GOP here in NC have been stymied by claims of privilege and immunity. Give up all of those e-mails, and then you can bitch about the IRS.

More rope, please

In the spirit of "give them all the rope they want," I'm kind of excited about the Hobby Lobby decision today. Not only does it tilt the balance in favor of more women voting in November, but it also will speed the emergence of a single-payer system of healthcare in America.

You can't have this sort of idiocy happening and expect average people to sit by and take it.

And even though Thom Tillis has put a happy face on his #hobbylobby Twitter posts, the strategist in him is surely grinding his teeth in despair. Tillis already had a big hill to climb to win women's votes, and now that big hill is looking like Mt. Everest.

Women are watching, Mr. Tillis. And women are pissed. It won't be long before it's payback time, and that will be an awesome thing to watch.

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Tillis (and the entire Republican party) has a problem with women

Thomas Mills has a good post up today, analyzing recent polling data to see just what Thom Tillis is up against in his bid to oust Kay Hagan. We all knew Tillis would have a hard time recovering from his War on Women, and now Mr. Mills has the numbers to confirm it.

The Republican Revolution that Tillis ran on in the primary never had broad support. It satisfied the corporate North Carolina and tried to mollify the social conservatives and Tea Partiers. In the process, it alienated women and left our public schools, community colleges, and universities hurting. Now, Tillis is beginning to reap what he sowed.

Now all we need to do it work to make sure those women turn out in droves this November. Something tells me they're going to do just that.

Which should also be good news for Robin Hudson.

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Why Tillis was "cherry-picked" by Karl Rove

The king of manipulators picks horses he can ride:

Tillis, a once-obscure state House speaker, is now one of Rove’s prize horses in the national money derby; Crossroads spent more than $1.6 million on advertising boosting Tillis’ primary campaign and later unveiled a $3.6 million ad campaign attacking Hagan. “Our advertising was terrific,” Rove declared on the call, and Tillis gave credit to Crossroads for his victory, saying in his smooth drawl that the group’s “contribution can’t be overstated.”

One big problem Rove has going forward, and one reason he’s cultivating unknowns like Tillis, is that many big-name Republicans want to keep their distance from him, especially the leading 2016 candidates. Jeb Bush’s allies see Rove as an unhelpful reminder of the most toxic elements of his older brother’s legacy, according to people familiar with their thinking.

One big thing Tillis and Dubya have in common is they were pretty much a blank slate when Rove got behind them. They're okay with generalities, but when it comes to the nuts and bolts of governing, they haven't got a clue. Which is just perfect for people like Karl Rove, who thrive on setting policy from the shadows. But Tillis is playing a pretty dangerous game, which may lose him some big bucks:

In his own words

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