Maybe it was just Anglico and I who were feeling a bit pissy today. It seems that stress levels are high and the news goes from bad to worse. Whether it's Jim Black dragging down our spirits or Newt Gingrich foaming at the mouth cheering on WWIII, it seems we're catching it from both sides politically.
What's worse is that while we worry about what truly are important questions concerning our nation's future, there are men, women and children dying simply because they live in the wrong building or were shopping in the wrong market or praying in the wrong mosque. We don't talk about that much here at BlueNC. However, that doesn't mean we are indifferent to the pain of those suffering through these terrible events. At this stage I'm not sure there is anything we can do but sit back and watch as the horror of the bombings unfolds in the Middle East.
It's sometimes hard for me to justify being so focused on November's elections when so much of the rest of the world is suffering in ways far worse than I can imagine. Our elections are important, though. They are important because we have an opportunity to change the direction of our country and to put the United States back in a position of respect and power. We will once again have a chance to earn the respect of other nations that comes from having the power and willingness to work for the common good globally.
This is why I'm going to stay focused on our elections. I am not indifferent to the pain of the rest of the world, but I'm going to work to do what I can to send a political message that will help our country change directions. This is where the good news comes in. I bet you were wondering when I was going to get to that part.
This evening I was reading Charlie Cook's new article at NationalJournal.com. The title alone will lift your spirits a bit: "The GOP Hill Gets Steeper". Are you feeling a bit better yet? IF not, here are some choice quotes. I will do my best to stay within fair use boundaries.
With fewer than 100 days left before the Nov. 7 election, certain assumptions can now be made, contingent upon the absence of a cataclysmic event.
First, the political climate will be extremely hostile to Republican candidates. Second, while Republicans benefited from turnout in 2002 and 2004, this time voter turnout will benefit Democratic candidates. And third, the advantage that the GOP usually has in national party spending will be significantly less than normal.
In terms of the political climate, the facts are clear. All of the traditional diagnostic indicators in major national polls taken in the past 10 days show numbers consistent with an electoral rout.
(Emphasis my own)
Cook goes on to quote several polls that support this analysis. I will try to provide some specifics from those later. There's more, though...much more.
In the House, where Democrats need a 15-seat gain to win a majority, Republicans have 15 seats that the Cook Political Report currently rates as toss-ups. No Democratic seats remain in that column. Another 21 GOP seats are rated as leaning Republican.
In a very large tidal-wave election, as this one appears to be, it would not be unusual to see all toss-ups go to one party, along with a few out of the leaning column as well. Republicans might lose their House majority just in the seats in which they are behind or in which their edge is within a poll's margin of error.
(Once again, I added the emphasis.)
I don't always agree with Charlie Cook, but others much smarter than I seem to respect him. I've read his other columns and this is the first I've seen him so positive about a possible leadership change in Washington. It provided just the lift I needed to keep working hard for Democratic majorities in Raleigh and Washington.
I've left this off the front page since it isn't about NC or NC politics. Just thought we could all use a bit of encouragement.
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